Texas vs. Kansas State odds, line: 2021 college football picks, Week 13 predictions, bets from proven model

The Texas Longhorns were eliminated from bowl consideration when they dropped a 31-23 decision at West Virginia on Saturday. The setback was the sixth in a row for the Longhorns, their longest losing streak since they endured an eight-game slide in 1956. Texas (4-7, 2-6) looks to end the 2021 season on a high note when it hosts the Kansas State Wildcats (7-4, 4-4) in a Big 12 Conference matchup on Friday. Kansas State had its four-game winning streak halted Saturday as it fell 20-10 against Baylor.

Kickoff at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Tex. is set for noon ET. The Longhorns are three-point favorites in the latest Texas vs. Kansas State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 52.5. Before making any Kansas State vs. Texas picks or college football predictions, you need to see what the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 13 of the 2021 season on a 39-25 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Texas vs. Kansas State and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for Kansas State vs. Texas: 

  • Texas vs. Kansas State spread: Longhorns -3 
  • Texas vs. Kansas State over-under: 52.5 points 
  • Texas vs. Kansas State money line: Longhorns -150, Wildcats +130 
  • TEX: The Longhorns are 0-6 against the spread in their last six games 
  • KSU: The Wildcats are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 meetings with the Longhorns

Featured Game | Texas Longhorns vs. Kansas State Wildcats

Why Texas can cover

The Longhorns managed to outgain the Mountaineers 203-158 on the ground in their loss despite being without leading rusher Bijan Robinson (1,127 yards, 11 touchdowns), whose season ended when he dislocated his elbow a week earlier against Kansas. Keilan Robinson filled the void nicely, gaining 111 yards on nine carries after sitting out the 57-56 overtime loss to the Jayhawks while in COVID-19 protocols. A transfer from Alabama, the sophomore also ran for a touchdown and had a 16-yard reception.

Texas expects a better performance from Casey Thompson, who completed only 4-of-14 pass attempts for 29 yards with one interception against West Virginia before being replaced by freshman Hudson Card. A junior, Thompson has recorded 1,943 passing yards with 23 TDs and eight picks this year while also running for four scores. Wideout Xavier Worthy made seven catches for 85 yards and a touchdown on Saturday, marking the fourth consecutive game in which the freshman has hauled in a scoring pass.

Why Kansas State can cover

The Wildcats could be without senior quarterback Skylar Thompson in their season finale due to the ankle injury he suffered against Baylor on Saturday, but as long as Deuce Vaughn is on the field, they have a chance to succeed. The sophomore running back recorded his fourth straight 100-yard performance and ninth in 13 games dating back to last season when he gained 128 on 11 carries versus the Bears. Vaughn, who also ran for a touchdown in the loss, is 17th in the nation with 1,115 rushing yards and tied for 10th with 14 TD runs.

Vaughn also is one of Kansas State’s top receivers, ranking second on the team with 464 yards while leading in catches (45) and scoring receptions (three). He trails junior wideout Phillip Brooks by just one yard for first on the Wildcats. On the other side of the ball, sophomore defensive end Felix Anudike-Uzomah has gone two games without a sack but is tied for third in the nation with 11 this season.

How to make Texas vs. Kansas State picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 54 combined points. It also has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the model’s Kansas State vs. Texas pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Texas vs. Kansas State? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Kansas State vs. Texas spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up almost $3,700 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.

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